Rusk County, Texas Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · TX

Low

Composite Risk Score

54.0

National percentile: 54th

Rusk County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 54.0, 54th national percentile), driven primarily by strong wind and heat wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $15M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Overall natural disaster risk in Rusk County is low, with a National Risk Index score of 54.0 out of 100 — placing it in the 54th national percentile and below the national average for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Most of Rusk County's expected losses come from strong wind (damaging straight-line winds outside of tornadoes and hurricanes) at High risk — $2M in expected annual loss and about 5.50 events per year; heat wave (prolonged periods of extreme heat that threaten health and infrastructure) at Medium risk — $2M in expected annual loss and about 19.63 events per year; and ice storm (freezing rain that coats surfaces in heavy, damaging ice) at Medium risk — $287K in expected annual loss and about 0.87 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $15M in expected annual loss for a population of 52K.

Beyond physical exposure, Rusk County has a high social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a very low community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). That combination — a more vulnerable population with limited resilience — can amplify the human cost of any given event.

The county's disaster history tells the same story: Rusk County has received 27 federal disaster declarations since 1965, including 6 for hurricane events and 6 for fire events. The most recent was Hurricane Beryl (hurricane), declared in July 2024.

Among 254 Texas counties, Rusk County ranks #129 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $15M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 52K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

High $2M/yr
Medium $2M/yr
Medium $287K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Strong Wind High 5.50 / yr$2M
Heat Wave Medium 19.63 / yr$2M
Ice Storm Medium 0.87 / yr$287K
Tornado Medium 0.77 / yr$3M
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr$182K
Lightning Medium 62.08 / yr$450K
Hurricane Low 0.06 / yr$582K
Drought Medium 20.73 / yr$346K
Cold Wave Low 0.79 / yr$1M
Winter Weather Medium 2.89 / yr$82K
Landslide Very Low 0.28 / yr$1K
Riverine Flood Low 1.18 / yr$5M
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$168K
Hail Low 4.77 / yr$142K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Rusk County has received 27 federal disaster declarations since 1965, most recently Hurricane Beryl in July 2024. Most frequent causes: Hurricane (6), Fire (6), Flood (4).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
July 2024HurricaneHurricane Beryl
May 2024FloodSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding
February 2021Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Storms
February 2021Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Storm
August 2020HurricaneTropical Storms Marco and Laura
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
May 2015Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds and Flooding
September 2011FireWildfires
July 2011FireWildfires

Showing the 10 most recent of 27 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Rusk County?

Rusk County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 54.0 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 54th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Rusk County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Strong Wind (High, $2M EAL), Heat Wave (Medium, $2M EAL), Ice Storm (Medium, $287K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Rusk County compare to other Texas counties?

Rusk County ranks #129 of 254 Texas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Rusk County had?

FEMA records 27 federal disaster declarations for Rusk County since 1965, most often 6 for hurricane events and 6 for fire events. The most recent was Hurricane Beryl, declared in July 2024.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Rusk County's $15M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.