Victoria County

Texas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Medium

Composite Risk Score

86.5

National percentile: 86th

Victoria County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 86.5, 86th national percentile), driven primarily by hurricane and cold wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $53M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $53M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 91K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Hurricane
High $26M/yr
Cold Wave
High $7M/yr
Drought
Medium $1M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hurricane High 0.13 / yr $26M
Cold Wave High 2.74 / yr $7M
Drought Medium 47.64 / yr $1M
Tornado Medium 0.37 / yr $5M
Heat Wave Medium 8.80 / yr $1M
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $261K
Lightning Medium 58.03 / yr $459K
Riverine Flood Low 1.93 / yr $12M
Ice Storm Medium 0.46 / yr $138K
Hail Low 1.15 / yr $286K
Winter Weather Low 1.11 / yr $59K
Strong Wind Low 0.70 / yr $323K
Coastal Flood Very Low 3.69 / yr $3K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $44K
Landslide Very Low 0.09 / yr $21
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Victoria County?

Victoria County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 86.5 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 86th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Victoria County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hurricane (High, $26M EAL), Cold Wave (High, $7M EAL), Drought (Medium, $1M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Victoria County compare to other Texas counties?

Victoria County ranks #31 of 254 Texas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Victoria County's $53M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.