Upshur County

Texas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

66.9

National percentile: 67th

Upshur County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 66.9, 67th national percentile), driven primarily by ice storm and tornado exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $21M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $21M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 41K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Ice Storm
High $1M/yr
Tornado
High $7M/yr
Strong Wind
High $1M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Ice Storm High 1.15 / yr $1M
Tornado High 0.51 / yr $7M
Strong Wind High 5.43 / yr $1M
Hail Medium 5.21 / yr $1M
Heat Wave Medium 18.63 / yr $1M
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $260K
Drought Medium 29.64 / yr $328K
Winter Weather Medium 3.37 / yr $86K
Hurricane Low 0.02 / yr $194K
Cold Wave Low 0.95 / yr $1M
Riverine Flood Low 0.86 / yr $7M
Landslide Very Low 0.21 / yr $1K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $124K
Lightning Low 59.96 / yr $122K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Upshur County?

Upshur County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 66.9 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 67th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Upshur County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Ice Storm (High, $1M EAL), Tornado (High, $7M EAL), Strong Wind (High, $1M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Upshur County compare to other Texas counties?

Upshur County ranks #87 of 254 Texas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Upshur County's $21M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.