San Patricio County
Texas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment
MediumComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 85th
San Patricio County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 85.4, 85th national percentile), driven primarily by hurricane and drought exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $39M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Hurricane | High | 0.13 / yr | $16M |
| Drought | High | 63.47 / yr | $2M |
| Cold Wave | High | 2.55 / yr | $5M |
| Heat Wave | Medium | 13.87 / yr | $2M |
| Tornado | Medium | 0.28 / yr | $3M |
| Riverine Flood | Medium | 2.54 / yr | $11M |
| Hail | Low | 1.12 / yr | $350K |
| Wildfire | Low | 0.00 / yr | $80K |
| Lightning | Medium | 47.00 / yr | $220K |
| Ice Storm | Low | 0.34 / yr | $76K |
| Coastal Flood | Low | 3.69 / yr | $139K |
| Strong Wind | Low | 0.87 / yr | $382K |
| Winter Weather | Low | 0.81 / yr | $34K |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $25K |
| Landslide | Very Low | 0.06 / yr | $33 |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for San Patricio County?
San Patricio County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 85.4 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 85th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in San Patricio County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Hurricane (High, $16M EAL), Drought (High, $2M EAL), Cold Wave (High, $5M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does San Patricio County compare to other Texas counties?
San Patricio County ranks #34 of 254 Texas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. San Patricio County's $39M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.