Falls County

Texas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

26.2

National percentile: 26th

Falls County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 26.2, 26th national percentile), driven primarily by tornado and hurricane exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $6M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $6M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 17K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Tornado
Medium $2M/yr
Hurricane
Low $339K/yr
Drought
Low $222K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Tornado Medium 0.44 / yr $2M
Hurricane Low 0.05 / yr $339K
Drought Low 45.66 / yr $222K
Hail Low 3.57 / yr $280K
Lightning Medium 51.91 / yr $225K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $42K
Heat Wave Low 15.63 / yr $305K
Cold Wave Low 0.53 / yr $635K
Winter Weather Low 2.79 / yr $30K
Ice Storm Low 0.94 / yr $24K
Strong Wind Low 1.73 / yr $170K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.96 / yr $2M
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $22K
Landslide Very Low 0.09 / yr $21
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Falls County?

Falls County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 26.2 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 26th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Falls County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Tornado (Medium, $2M EAL), Hurricane (Low, $339K EAL), Drought (Low, $222K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Falls County compare to other Texas counties?

Falls County ranks #180 of 254 Texas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Falls County's $6M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.