Ward County

Texas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

15.4

National percentile: 15th

Ward County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 15.4, 15th national percentile), driven primarily by wildfire and hail exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $4M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $4M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 12K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Wildfire
Low $182K/yr
Hail
Low $371K/yr
Strong Wind
Medium $503K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $182K
Hail Low 2.65 / yr $371K
Strong Wind Medium 0.94 / yr $503K
Drought Low 73.80 / yr $175K
Winter Weather Low 4.35 / yr $58K
Heat Wave Low 5.53 / yr $150K
Lightning Low 43.74 / yr $94K
Ice Storm Low 0.34 / yr $30K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.57 / yr $2M
Tornado Low 0.23 / yr $275K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $22K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $5K
Cold Wave Very Low 0.43 / yr $137K
Landslide Very Low 0.05 / yr $0
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Ward County?

Ward County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 15.4 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 15th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Ward County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Wildfire (Low, $182K EAL), Hail (Low, $371K EAL), Strong Wind (Medium, $503K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Ward County compare to other Texas counties?

Ward County ranks #201 of 254 Texas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Ward County's $4M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.