Shackelford County, Texas Natural Disaster Risk
FEMA National Risk Index assessment · TX
Very LowComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 1th
Shackelford County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 1.4, 1th national percentile), driven primarily by wildfire and drought exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $2M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Risk Overview
Shackelford County carries a very low composite natural disaster risk, with a National Risk Index score of 1.4 out of 100 — placing it in the 1st national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.
Most of Shackelford County's expected losses come from wildfire (uncontrolled fires that spread across wildland and into communities) at Low risk — $413K in expected annual loss and about 0.01 events per year; drought (extended dry periods that stress water supplies and agriculture) at Low risk — $180K in expected annual loss and about 94.77 events per year; and hail (ice stones from severe thunderstorms that damage property and crops) at Low risk — $345K in expected annual loss and about 5.99 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $2M in expected annual loss for a population of 3K.
Beyond physical exposure, Shackelford County has a very low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a high community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). A less vulnerable population paired with strong resilience helps the community absorb and recover from events.
The federal record bears this out: Shackelford County has received 18 federal disaster declarations since 1978, including 5 for fire events and 4 for severe storm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storms (severe ice storm), declared in February 2021.
Among 254 Texas counties, Shackelford County ranks #247 for overall natural disaster risk.
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Wildfire | Low | 0.01 / yr | $413K |
| Drought | Low | 94.77 / yr | $180K |
| Hail | Low | 5.99 / yr | $345K |
| Landslide | Very Low | 0.16 / yr | $483 |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 0.01 / yr | $8K |
| Tornado | Very Low | 0.63 / yr | $318K |
| Heat Wave | Very Low | 10.68 / yr | $62K |
| Strong Wind | Very Low | 1.92 / yr | $140K |
| Winter Weather | Very Low | 5.68 / yr | $10K |
| Cold Wave | Very Low | 1.05 / yr | $88K |
| Ice Storm | Very Low | 0.53 / yr | $4K |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $7K |
| Riverine Flood | Very Low | 0.39 / yr | $775K |
| Lightning | Very Low | 47.59 / yr | $4K |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Disaster History
Shackelford County has received 18 federal disaster declarations since 1978, most recently Severe Winter Storms in February 2021. Most frequent causes: Fire (5), Severe Storm (4), Hurricane (3).
| Declared | Type | Disaster |
|---|---|---|
| February 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storms |
| February 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| March 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| March 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| February 2016 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding |
| July 2011 | Fire | Wildfires |
| June 2011 | Fire | Snyder Fire |
| March 2008 | Fire | Wildfires |
| June 2007 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding |
| January 2006 | Fire | Extreme Wildfire Threat |
Showing the 10 most recent of 18 declarations.
Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Shackelford County?
Shackelford County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 1.4 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 1th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Shackelford County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Wildfire (Low, $413K EAL), Drought (Low, $180K EAL), Hail (Low, $345K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Shackelford County compare to other Texas counties?
Shackelford County ranks #247 of 254 Texas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.
How many federally declared disasters has Shackelford County had?
FEMA records 18 federal disaster declarations for Shackelford County since 1978, most often 5 for fire events and 4 for severe storm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storms, declared in February 2021.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Shackelford County's $2M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.