Crane County, Texas Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · TX

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

1.1

National percentile: 1th

Crane County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 1.1, 1th national percentile), driven primarily by wildfire and hail exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $971K.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Crane County at very low composite risk, with a National Risk Index score of 1.1 out of 100 — placing it in the 1st national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Most of Crane County's expected losses come from wildfire (uncontrolled fires that spread across wildland and into communities) at Very Low risk — $41K in expected annual loss and about 0.00 events per year; hail (ice stones from severe thunderstorms that damage property and crops) at Low risk — $156K in expected annual loss and about 3.40 events per year; and winter weather (heavy snow, blizzards, and hazardous winter conditions) at Low risk — $19K in expected annual loss and about 4.79 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $971K in expected annual loss for a population of 5K.

Beyond physical exposure, Crane County has a very high social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a very low community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). That combination — a more vulnerable population with limited resilience — can amplify the human cost of any given event.

The county's disaster history tells the same story: Crane County has received 12 federal disaster declarations since 1998, including 4 for fire events and 3 for hurricane events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storms (severe ice storm), declared in February 2021.

Among 254 Texas counties, Crane County ranks #248 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $971K Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 5K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Very Low $41K/yr
Low $156K/yr
Low $19K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$41K
Hail Low 3.40 / yr$156K
Winter Weather Low 4.79 / yr$19K
Heat Wave Very Low 6.26 / yr$69K
Strong Wind Low 1.25 / yr$111K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.33 / yr$9K
Lightning Very Low 43.23 / yr$34K
Tornado Very Low 0.26 / yr$84K
Drought Very Low 78.42 / yr$99
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr$2K
Cold Wave Very Low 0.42 / yr$56K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$5K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.57 / yr$386K
Landslide Very Low 0.08 / yr$1
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Crane County has received 12 federal disaster declarations since 1998, most recently Severe Winter Storms in February 2021. Most frequent causes: Fire (4), Hurricane (3), Severe Ice Storm (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
February 2021Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Storms
February 2021Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Storm
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
July 2011FireWildfires
March 2008FireWildfires
January 2006FireExtreme Wildfire Threat
September 2005HurricaneHurricane Rita
September 2005HurricaneHurricane Rita
September 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuation

Showing the 10 most recent of 12 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Crane County?

Crane County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 1.1 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 1th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Crane County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Wildfire (Very Low, $41K EAL), Hail (Low, $156K EAL), Winter Weather (Low, $19K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Crane County compare to other Texas counties?

Crane County ranks #248 of 254 Texas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Crane County had?

FEMA records 12 federal disaster declarations for Crane County since 1998, most often 4 for fire events and 3 for hurricane events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storms, declared in February 2021.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Crane County's $971K EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.