Scurry County, Texas Natural Disaster Risk
FEMA National Risk Index assessment · TX
Very LowComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 30th
Scurry County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 30.0, 30th national percentile), driven primarily by drought and hail exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $8M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Risk Overview
FEMA's National Risk Index rates Scurry County at very low composite risk, with a National Risk Index score of 30.0 out of 100 — placing it in the 30th national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.
Most of Scurry County's expected losses come from drought (extended dry periods that stress water supplies and agriculture) at High risk — $2M in expected annual loss and about 59.13 events per year; hail (ice stones from severe thunderstorms that damage property and crops) at Medium risk — $1M in expected annual loss and about 4.71 events per year; and wildfire (uncontrolled fires that spread across wildland and into communities) at Low risk — $882K in expected annual loss and about 0.01 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $8M in expected annual loss for a population of 17K.
Beyond physical exposure, Scurry County has a medium social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a very low community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). Both measures sit toward the lower end, indicating relatively modest population sensitivity.
The federal record bears this out: Scurry County has received 15 federal disaster declarations since 1993, including 5 for fire events and 3 for hurricane events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storms (severe ice storm), declared in February 2021.
Among 254 Texas counties, Scurry County ranks #169 for overall natural disaster risk.
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Drought | High | 59.13 / yr | $2M |
| Hail | Medium | 4.71 / yr | $1M |
| Wildfire | Low | 0.01 / yr | $882K |
| Winter Weather | Low | 6.37 / yr | $60K |
| Strong Wind | Low | 1.89 / yr | $425K |
| Tornado | Low | 0.57 / yr | $829K |
| Heat Wave | Very Low | 5.68 / yr | $183K |
| Ice Storm | Low | 0.24 / yr | $24K |
| Cold Wave | Low | 0.79 / yr | $308K |
| Riverine Flood | Very Low | 1.64 / yr | $2M |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 0.01 / yr | $6K |
| Landslide | Very Low | 0.13 / yr | $111 |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $26K |
| Lightning | Very Low | 48.41 / yr | $36K |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Disaster History
Scurry County has received 15 federal disaster declarations since 1993, most recently Severe Winter Storms in February 2021. Most frequent causes: Fire (5), Hurricane (3), Severe Ice Storm (2).
| Declared | Type | Disaster |
|---|---|---|
| February 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storms |
| February 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| March 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| March 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| February 2016 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding |
| July 2011 | Fire | Wildfires |
| March 2008 | Fire | Wildfires |
| February 2008 | Fire | Scurry Fire Complex |
| January 2006 | Fire | Extreme Wildfire Threat |
| September 2005 | Hurricane | Hurricane Rita |
Showing the 10 most recent of 15 declarations.
Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Scurry County?
Scurry County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 30.0 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 30th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Scurry County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Drought (High, $2M EAL), Hail (Medium, $1M EAL), Wildfire (Low, $882K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Scurry County compare to other Texas counties?
Scurry County ranks #169 of 254 Texas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.
How many federally declared disasters has Scurry County had?
FEMA records 15 federal disaster declarations for Scurry County since 1993, most often 5 for fire events and 3 for hurricane events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storms, declared in February 2021.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Scurry County's $8M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.