Nolan County

Texas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

37.8

National percentile: 38th

Nolan County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 37.8, 38th national percentile), driven primarily by drought and wildfire exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $7M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $7M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 15K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Drought
Medium $1M/yr
Wildfire
Low $518K/yr
Hail
Medium $802K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Drought Medium 66.41 / yr $1M
Wildfire Low 0.01 / yr $518K
Hail Medium 5.29 / yr $802K
Strong Wind Medium 2.04 / yr $824K
Winter Weather Medium 5.89 / yr $76K
Tornado Low 0.61 / yr $1M
Cold Wave Low 1.05 / yr $485K
Heat Wave Low 9.58 / yr $168K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.96 / yr $2M
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $7K
Lightning Low 48.05 / yr $57K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.32 / yr $12K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $14K
Landslide Very Low 0.18 / yr $29
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Nolan County?

Nolan County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 37.8 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 38th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Nolan County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Drought (Medium, $1M EAL), Wildfire (Low, $518K EAL), Hail (Medium, $802K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Nolan County compare to other Texas counties?

Nolan County ranks #151 of 254 Texas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Nolan County's $7M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.