Eastland County, Texas Natural Disaster Risk
FEMA National Risk Index assessment · TX
Very LowComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 41th
Eastland County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 41.2, 41th national percentile), driven primarily by wildfire and hail exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $9M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Risk Overview
FEMA's National Risk Index rates Eastland County at very low composite risk, with a National Risk Index score of 41.2 out of 100 — placing it in the 41st national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.
The county's risk is driven primarily by wildfire (uncontrolled fires that spread across wildland and into communities) at Low risk — $756K in expected annual loss and about 0.00 events per year; hail (ice stones from severe thunderstorms that damage property and crops) at Medium risk — $871K in expected annual loss and about 6.13 events per year; and tornado (violently rotating columns of air capable of catastrophic local damage) at Medium risk — $2M in expected annual loss and about 0.64 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $9M in expected annual loss for a population of 18K.
Beyond physical exposure, Eastland County has a very high social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a medium community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). That combination — a more vulnerable population with limited resilience — can amplify the human cost of any given event.
History supports the rating: Eastland County has received 27 federal disaster declarations since 1990, including 9 for fire events and 5 for flood events. The most recent was Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding (flood), declared in May 2024.
Among 254 Texas counties, Eastland County ranks #146 for overall natural disaster risk.
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Wildfire | Low | 0.00 / yr | $756K |
| Hail | Medium | 6.13 / yr | $871K |
| Tornado | Medium | 0.64 / yr | $2M |
| Cold Wave | Low | 0.95 / yr | $1M |
| Drought | Low | 40.31 / yr | $206K |
| Heat Wave | Low | 9.16 / yr | $264K |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 0.01 / yr | $40K |
| Winter Weather | Low | 4.84 / yr | $39K |
| Strong Wind | Low | 2.00 / yr | $339K |
| Riverine Flood | Low | 1.04 / yr | $4M |
| Landslide | Very Low | 0.13 / yr | $610 |
| Lightning | Low | 48.28 / yr | $96K |
| Ice Storm | Low | 0.69 / yr | $23K |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $33K |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Disaster History
Eastland County has received 27 federal disaster declarations since 1990, most recently Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding in May 2024. Most frequent causes: Fire (9), Flood (5), Severe Storm (4).
| Declared | Type | Disaster |
|---|---|---|
| May 2024 | Flood | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding |
| March 2022 | Fire | Wheat Field Fire |
| March 2022 | Fire | Kidd Fire |
| February 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storms |
| February 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| March 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| March 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| June 2016 | Flood | Severe Storms and Flooding |
| May 2015 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds and Flooding |
| July 2011 | Fire | Wildfires |
Showing the 10 most recent of 27 declarations.
Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Eastland County?
Eastland County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 41.2 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 41th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Eastland County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Wildfire (Low, $756K EAL), Hail (Medium, $871K EAL), Tornado (Medium, $2M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Eastland County compare to other Texas counties?
Eastland County ranks #146 of 254 Texas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.
How many federally declared disasters has Eastland County had?
FEMA records 27 federal disaster declarations for Eastland County since 1990, most often 9 for fire events and 5 for flood events. The most recent was Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding, declared in May 2024.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Eastland County's $9M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.