Hamblen County, Tennessee Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · TN

Low

Composite Risk Score

47.1

National percentile: 47th

Hamblen County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 47.1, 47th national percentile), driven primarily by earthquake and landslide exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $12M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Overall natural disaster risk in Hamblen County is low, with a National Risk Index score of 47.1 out of 100 — placing it in the 47th national percentile and below the national average for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

The county's risk is driven primarily by earthquake (ground shaking from sudden movement along geologic faults) at Low risk — $2M in expected annual loss and about 0.00 events per year; landslide (downhill movement of rock, soil, and debris on unstable slopes) at Low risk — $20K in expected annual loss and about 0.49 events per year; and lightning (electrical discharges from storms that ignite fires and cause casualties) at Medium risk — $547K in expected annual loss and about 51.54 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $12M in expected annual loss for a population of 64K.

Beyond physical exposure, Hamblen County has a high social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a low community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). That combination — a more vulnerable population with limited resilience — can amplify the human cost of any given event.

The federal record bears this out: Hamblen County has received 15 federal disaster declarations since 1973, including 3 for flood events and 2 for winter storm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm (winter storm), declared in February 2026.

Among 95 Tennessee counties, Hamblen County ranks #58 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $12M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 64K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Low $2M/yr
Low $20K/yr
Medium $547K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr$2M
Landslide Low 0.49 / yr$20K
Lightning Medium 51.54 / yr$547K
Tornado Low 0.04 / yr$2M
Ice Storm Low 0.19 / yr$96K
Riverine Flood Low 0.61 / yr$6M
Strong Wind Low 4.46 / yr$433K
Winter Weather Low 4.74 / yr$49K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$21K
Cold Wave Low 0.58 / yr$535K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr$23K
Drought Low 16.93 / yr$24K
Hail Very Low 2.97 / yr$95K
Heat Wave Very Low 0.47 / yr$65K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Hamblen County has received 15 federal disaster declarations since 1973, most recently Severe Winter Storm in February 2026. Most frequent causes: Flood (3), Winter Storm (2), Severe Storm (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
February 2026Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
January 2026Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
April 2025Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding
October 2024Tropical StormTropical Storm Helene
September 2024Tropical StormTropical Storm Helene
April 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
April 2019FloodSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides
April 2015Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Storm and Flooding
September 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuation

Showing the 10 most recent of 15 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Hamblen County?

Hamblen County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 47.1 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 47th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Hamblen County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Earthquake (Low, $2M EAL), Landslide (Low, $20K EAL), Lightning (Medium, $547K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Hamblen County compare to other Tennessee counties?

Hamblen County ranks #58 of 95 Tennessee counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Hamblen County had?

FEMA records 15 federal disaster declarations for Hamblen County since 1973, most often 3 for flood events and 2 for winter storm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm, declared in February 2026.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Hamblen County's $12M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.