Lake County

Tennessee — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

47.8

National percentile: 48th

Lake County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 47.8, 48th national percentile), driven primarily by earthquake and drought exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $10M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $10M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 7K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Earthquake
Medium $6M/yr
Drought
Medium $396K/yr
Heat Wave
Low $463K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Earthquake Medium 0.02 / yr $6M
Drought Medium 13.39 / yr $396K
Heat Wave Low 15.53 / yr $463K
Ice Storm Medium 1.22 / yr $105K
Cold Wave Low 2.53 / yr $1M
Tornado Low 0.17 / yr $888K
Winter Weather Low 7.32 / yr $30K
Lightning Low 57.81 / yr $82K
Strong Wind Low 2.47 / yr $191K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $8K
Hail Very Low 3.15 / yr $26K
Landslide Very Low 0.21 / yr $17
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.54 / yr $751K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $429
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Lake County?

Lake County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 47.8 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 48th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Lake County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Earthquake (Medium, $6M EAL), Drought (Medium, $396K EAL), Heat Wave (Low, $463K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Lake County compare to other Tennessee counties?

Lake County ranks #56 of 95 Tennessee counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Lake County's $10M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.