Patrick County

Virginia — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

20.9

National percentile: 21th

Patrick County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 20.9, 21th national percentile), driven primarily by landslide and avalanche exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $6M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $6M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 18K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Landslide
Low $7K/yr
Avalanche
Low $4K/yr
Hurricane
Low $278K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Landslide Low 1.31 / yr $7K
Avalanche Low 0.01 / yr $4K
Hurricane Low 0.06 / yr $278K
Drought Low 9.54 / yr $279K
Ice Storm Low 1.17 / yr $55K
Cold Wave Low 1.16 / yr $637K
Riverine Flood Low 1.64 / yr $5M
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $111K
Winter Weather Very Low 8.37 / yr $18K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $8K
Strong Wind Low 3.19 / yr $168K
Tornado Very Low 0.11 / yr $227K
Hail Very Low 4.76 / yr $58K
Lightning Very Low 47.88 / yr $53K
Heat Wave Very Low 0.26 / yr $9K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Patrick County?

Patrick County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 20.9 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 21th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Patrick County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Landslide (Low, $7K EAL), Avalanche (Low, $4K EAL), Hurricane (Low, $278K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Patrick County compare to other Virginia counties?

Patrick County ranks #75 of 133 Virginia counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Patrick County's $6M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.