Presidio County, Texas Natural Disaster Risk
FEMA National Risk Index assessment · TX
Very LowComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 10th
Presidio County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 10.2, 10th national percentile), driven primarily by drought and wildfire exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $3M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Risk Overview
Overall natural disaster risk in Presidio County is very low, with a National Risk Index score of 10.2 out of 100 — placing it in the 10th national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.
Risk here concentrates in drought (extended dry periods that stress water supplies and agriculture) at Medium risk — $722K in expected annual loss and about 102.58 events per year; wildfire (uncontrolled fires that spread across wildland and into communities) at Low risk — $216K in expected annual loss and about 0.01 events per year; and lightning (electrical discharges from storms that ignite fires and cause casualties) at Low risk — $144K in expected annual loss and about 61.06 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $3M in expected annual loss for a population of 6K.
Beyond physical exposure, Presidio County has a very high social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a very low community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). That combination — a more vulnerable population with limited resilience — can amplify the human cost of any given event.
The county's disaster history tells the same story: Presidio County has received 14 federal disaster declarations since 1998, including 6 for fire events and 3 for hurricane events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storms (severe ice storm), declared in February 2021.
Among 254 Texas counties, Presidio County ranks #214 for overall natural disaster risk.
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Drought | Medium | 102.58 / yr | $722K |
| Wildfire | Low | 0.01 / yr | $216K |
| Lightning | Low | 61.06 / yr | $144K |
| Heat Wave | Low | 5.97 / yr | $156K |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.01 / yr | $195 |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $52K |
| Ice Storm | Low | 0.12 / yr | $18K |
| Landslide | Very Low | 1.13 / yr | $74 |
| Winter Weather | Very Low | 2.72 / yr | $9K |
| Riverine Flood | Very Low | 0.64 / yr | $1M |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 0.01 / yr | $2K |
| Hail | Very Low | 0.53 / yr | $23K |
| Cold Wave | Very Low | 0.34 / yr | $27K |
| Tornado | Very Low | 0.15 / yr | $22K |
| Strong Wind | Very Low | 0.14 / yr | $27K |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Disaster History
Presidio County has received 14 federal disaster declarations since 1998, most recently Severe Winter Storms in February 2021. Most frequent causes: Fire (6), Hurricane (3), Severe Ice Storm (2).
| Declared | Type | Disaster |
|---|---|---|
| February 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storms |
| February 2021 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| March 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| March 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| July 2011 | Fire | Wildfires |
| April 2011 | Fire | Rockhouse Fire |
| June 2008 | Fire | Hughes Ranch Fire |
| March 2008 | Fire | Wildfires |
| January 2006 | Fire | Extreme Wildfire Threat |
| September 2005 | Hurricane | Hurricane Rita |
Showing the 10 most recent of 14 declarations.
Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Presidio County?
Presidio County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 10.2 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 10th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Presidio County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Drought (Medium, $722K EAL), Wildfire (Low, $216K EAL), Lightning (Low, $144K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Presidio County compare to other Texas counties?
Presidio County ranks #214 of 254 Texas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.
How many federally declared disasters has Presidio County had?
FEMA records 14 federal disaster declarations for Presidio County since 1998, most often 6 for fire events and 3 for hurricane events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storms, declared in February 2021.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Presidio County's $3M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.