Lavaca County

Texas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

78.9

National percentile: 79th

Lavaca County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 78.9, 79th national percentile), driven primarily by cold wave and riverine flood exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $34M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $34M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 20K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Cold Wave
Medium $5M/yr
Riverine Flood
Medium $23M/yr
Hurricane
Medium $3M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Cold Wave Medium 0.42 / yr $5M
Riverine Flood Medium 3.61 / yr $23M
Hurricane Medium 0.10 / yr $3M
Lightning Medium 57.57 / yr $501K
Drought Medium 54.29 / yr $356K
Heat Wave Low 11.11 / yr $388K
Tornado Low 0.47 / yr $1M
Hail Low 1.69 / yr $146K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $18K
Winter Weather Low 1.74 / yr $23K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.44 / yr $21K
Strong Wind Low 0.90 / yr $209K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $15K
Landslide Very Low 0.11 / yr $26
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Lavaca County?

Lavaca County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 78.9 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 79th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Lavaca County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Cold Wave (Medium, $5M EAL), Riverine Flood (Medium, $23M EAL), Hurricane (Medium, $3M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Lavaca County compare to other Texas counties?

Lavaca County ranks #57 of 254 Texas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Lavaca County's $34M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.