Lawrence County

Tennessee — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

69.7

National percentile: 70th

Lawrence County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 69.7, 70th national percentile), driven primarily by tornado and lightning exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $22M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $22M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 44K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Tornado
High $6M/yr
Lightning
High $997K/yr
Earthquake
Low $4M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Tornado High 0.54 / yr $6M
Lightning High 61.94 / yr $997K
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $4M
Cold Wave Medium 1.16 / yr $4M
Strong Wind Medium 5.76 / yr $570K
Ice Storm Low 0.77 / yr $96K
Riverine Flood Low 3.29 / yr $6M
Winter Weather Low 4.63 / yr $63K
Heat Wave Low 5.42 / yr $382K
Hurricane Very Low 0.03 / yr $92K
Landslide Very Low 0.86 / yr $529
Drought Low 15.66 / yr $22K
Hail Very Low 3.95 / yr $59K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $4K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Lawrence County?

Lawrence County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 69.7 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 70th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Lawrence County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Tornado (High, $6M EAL), Lightning (High, $997K EAL), Earthquake (Low, $4M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Lawrence County compare to other Tennessee counties?

Lawrence County ranks #27 of 95 Tennessee counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Lawrence County's $22M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.