Cayuga County

New York — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

61.5

National percentile: 62th

Cayuga County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 61.5, 62th national percentile), driven primarily by ice storm and riverine flood exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $24M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $24M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 76K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Ice Storm
High $726K/yr
Riverine Flood
Medium $19M/yr
Winter Weather
Medium $152K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Ice Storm High 1.10 / yr $726K
Riverine Flood Medium 1.00 / yr $19M
Winter Weather Medium 21.81 / yr $152K
Hurricane Low 0.02 / yr $363K
Strong Wind Medium 1.45 / yr $825K
Hail Low 2.02 / yr $394K
Drought Low 1.37 / yr $242K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $263K
Lightning Low 30.49 / yr $229K
Landslide Very Low 0.23 / yr $1K
Heat Wave Low 3.37 / yr $275K
Tornado Low 0.14 / yr $876K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $18K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $113
Cold Wave Very Low 3.04 / yr $279K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.01 / yr $653
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Cayuga County?

Cayuga County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 61.5 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 62th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Cayuga County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Ice Storm (High, $726K EAL), Riverine Flood (Medium, $19M EAL), Winter Weather (Medium, $152K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Cayuga County compare to other New York counties?

Cayuga County ranks #42 of 62 New York counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Cayuga County's $24M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.