Bergen County

New Jersey — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

High

Composite Risk Score

97.8

National percentile: 98th

Bergen County faces high composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 97.8, 98th national percentile), driven primarily by coastal flood and riverine flood exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $322M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $322M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 955K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Coastal Flood
Very High $34M/yr
Riverine Flood
High $217M/yr
Winter Weather
Very High $2M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Coastal Flood Very High 3.76 / yr $34M
Riverine Flood High 5.93 / yr $217M
Winter Weather Very High 11.77 / yr $2M
Strong Wind Very High 5.27 / yr $6M
Heat Wave High 9.11 / yr $9M
Lightning High 31.54 / yr $2M
Earthquake Medium 0.00 / yr $20M
Hurricane Medium 0.12 / yr $14M
Tornado High 0.08 / yr $9M
Cold Wave High 0.70 / yr $9M
Ice Storm Medium 0.93 / yr $432K
Landslide Very Low 0.14 / yr $3K
Drought Low 1.99 / yr $53K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $9K
Hail Very Low 2.18 / yr $80K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Bergen County?

Bergen County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 97.8 out of 100, placing it in the High category and the 98th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Bergen County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Coastal Flood (Very High, $34M EAL), Riverine Flood (High, $217M EAL), Winter Weather (Very High, $2M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Bergen County compare to other New Jersey counties?

Bergen County ranks #1 of 21 New Jersey counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a high rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Bergen County's $322M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.