Grayson County

Virginia — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

24.7

National percentile: 25th

Grayson County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 24.7, 25th national percentile), driven primarily by landslide and cold wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $6M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $6M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 15K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Landslide
Medium $47K/yr
Cold Wave
Medium $3M/yr
Drought
Low $208K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Landslide Medium 1.27 / yr $47K
Cold Wave Medium 4.84 / yr $3M
Drought Low 9.81 / yr $208K
Lightning Low 47.65 / yr $202K
Hurricane Very Low 0.03 / yr $80K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $25K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $256
Ice Storm Low 0.61 / yr $40K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $109K
Riverine Flood Very Low 1.25 / yr $2M
Winter Weather Low 19.27 / yr $19K
Strong Wind Low 2.61 / yr $150K
Tornado Very Low 0.09 / yr $151K
Hail Very Low 4.02 / yr $39K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Heat Wave Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Grayson County?

Grayson County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 24.7 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 25th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Grayson County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Landslide (Medium, $47K EAL), Cold Wave (Medium, $3M EAL), Drought (Low, $208K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Grayson County compare to other Virginia counties?

Grayson County ranks #69 of 133 Virginia counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Grayson County's $6M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.