Hill County

Texas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

73.0

National percentile: 73th

Hill County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 73.0, 73th national percentile), driven primarily by cold wave and tornado exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $25M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $25M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 36K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Cold Wave
High $10M/yr
Tornado
Medium $5M/yr
Wildfire
Low $401K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Cold Wave High 0.74 / yr $10M
Tornado Medium 0.82 / yr $5M
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $401K
Drought Medium 39.57 / yr $821K
Hail Medium 6.72 / yr $650K
Lightning Medium 52.61 / yr $534K
Ice Storm Medium 0.87 / yr $265K
Heat Wave Low 16.26 / yr $936K
Landslide Low 0.12 / yr $7K
Hurricane Low 0.03 / yr $302K
Strong Wind Medium 3.13 / yr $541K
Riverine Flood Low 1.32 / yr $5M
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $65K
Winter Weather Very Low 3.26 / yr $9K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Hill County?

Hill County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 73.0 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 73th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Hill County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Cold Wave (High, $10M EAL), Tornado (Medium, $5M EAL), Wildfire (Low, $401K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Hill County compare to other Texas counties?

Hill County ranks #73 of 254 Texas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Hill County's $25M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.