Goliad County

Texas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

22.6

National percentile: 23th

Goliad County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 22.6, 23th national percentile), driven primarily by hurricane and drought exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $6M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $6M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 7K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Hurricane
Medium $3M/yr
Drought
Low $244K/yr
Wildfire
Very Low $52K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hurricane Medium 0.13 / yr $3M
Drought Low 66.69 / yr $244K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $52K
Tornado Low 0.38 / yr $432K
Cold Wave Low 2.68 / yr $320K
Heat Wave Very Low 8.11 / yr $105K
Riverine Flood Very Low 1.00 / yr $2M
Hail Very Low 1.31 / yr $53K
Lightning Very Low 53.29 / yr $48K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.37 / yr $9K
Landslide Very Low 0.10 / yr $16
Winter Weather Very Low 1.16 / yr $5K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $6K
Strong Wind Very Low 0.84 / yr $39K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Goliad County?

Goliad County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 22.6 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 23th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Goliad County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hurricane (Medium, $3M EAL), Drought (Low, $244K EAL), Wildfire (Very Low, $52K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Goliad County compare to other Texas counties?

Goliad County ranks #186 of 254 Texas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Goliad County's $6M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.