Trousdale County, Tennessee Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · TN

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

6.1

National percentile: 6th

Trousdale County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 6.1, 6th national percentile), driven primarily by earthquake and cold wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $5M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Trousdale County carries a very low composite natural disaster risk, with a National Risk Index score of 6.1 out of 100 — placing it in the 6th national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Risk here concentrates in earthquake (ground shaking from sudden movement along geologic faults) at Very Low risk — $184K in expected annual loss and about 0.00 events per year; cold wave (prolonged spells of dangerously low temperatures) at Low risk — $736K in expected annual loss and about 1.16 events per year; and tornado (violently rotating columns of air capable of catastrophic local damage) at Low risk — $795K in expected annual loss and about 0.09 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $5M in expected annual loss for a population of 12K.

Beyond physical exposure, Trousdale County has a very low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a low community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). Both measures sit toward the lower end, indicating relatively modest population sensitivity.

History supports the rating: Trousdale County has received 13 federal disaster declarations since 1974, including 5 for severe storm events and 2 for winter storm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm (winter storm), declared in February 2026.

Among 95 Tennessee counties, Trousdale County ranks #93 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $5M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 12K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Very Low $184K/yr
Low $736K/yr
Low $795K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$184K
Cold Wave Low 1.16 / yr$736K
Tornado Low 0.09 / yr$795K
Strong Wind Low 6.26 / yr$369K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.68 / yr$34K
Landslide Very Low 0.15 / yr$266
Winter Weather Very Low 5.89 / yr$27K
Drought Very Low 5.42 / yr$6K
Heat Wave Very Low 4.26 / yr$81K
Hail Very Low 3.30 / yr$77K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.61 / yr$2M
Lightning Very Low 57.11 / yr$59K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr$754
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$2K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Trousdale County has received 13 federal disaster declarations since 1974, most recently Severe Winter Storm in February 2026. Most frequent causes: Severe Storm (5), Winter Storm (2), Biological (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
February 2026Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
January 2026Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
April 2025Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding
April 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
May 2010Severe StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes
February 2008Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
September 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuation
May 2003Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding
February 1994Severe StormSevere Winter Ice Storm,Flash Flooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 13 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Trousdale County?

Trousdale County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 6.1 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 6th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Trousdale County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Earthquake (Very Low, $184K EAL), Cold Wave (Low, $736K EAL), Tornado (Low, $795K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Trousdale County compare to other Tennessee counties?

Trousdale County ranks #93 of 95 Tennessee counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Trousdale County had?

FEMA records 13 federal disaster declarations for Trousdale County since 1974, most often 5 for severe storm events and 2 for winter storm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm, declared in February 2026.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Trousdale County's $5M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.