Ellis County

Oklahoma — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

24.8

National percentile: 25th

Ellis County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 24.8, 25th national percentile), driven primarily by ice storm and drought exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $6M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $6M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 4K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Ice Storm
High $1M/yr
Drought
High $1M/yr
Wildfire
Low $481K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Ice Storm High 0.68 / yr $1M
Drought High 89.54 / yr $1M
Wildfire Low 0.01 / yr $481K
Hail Low 7.33 / yr $289K
Winter Weather Low 10.47 / yr $52K
Cold Wave Low 2.84 / yr $719K
Strong Wind Low 3.29 / yr $280K
Tornado Low 0.86 / yr $540K
Landslide Very Low 0.29 / yr $373
Heat Wave Very Low 5.47 / yr $85K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $6K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $24K
Lightning Very Low 46.75 / yr $16K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.25 / yr $670K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Ellis County?

Ellis County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 24.8 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 25th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Ellis County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Ice Storm (High, $1M EAL), Drought (High, $1M EAL), Wildfire (Low, $481K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Ellis County compare to other Oklahoma counties?

Ellis County ranks #69 of 77 Oklahoma counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Ellis County's $6M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.