Grant County, Oklahoma Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · OK

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

27.8

National percentile: 28th

Grant County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 27.8, 28th national percentile), driven primarily by ice storm and drought exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $7M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Grant County carries a very low composite natural disaster risk, with a National Risk Index score of 27.8 out of 100 — placing it in the 28th national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Most of Grant County's expected losses come from ice storm (freezing rain that coats surfaces in heavy, damaging ice) at High risk — $1M in expected annual loss and about 0.74 events per year; drought (extended dry periods that stress water supplies and agriculture) at Medium risk — $1M in expected annual loss and about 75.15 events per year; and cold wave (prolonged spells of dangerously low temperatures) at Medium risk — $2M in expected annual loss and about 2.84 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $7M in expected annual loss for a population of 4K.

Beyond physical exposure, Grant County has a high social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a high community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). Higher vulnerability is partly offset by strong community resilience and recovery capacity.

The county's disaster history tells the same story: Grant County has received 32 federal disaster declarations since 1973, including 16 for severe storm events and 8 for severe ice storm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storms (severe ice storm), declared in February 2021.

Among 77 Oklahoma counties, Grant County ranks #67 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $7M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 4K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

High $1M/yr
Medium $1M/yr
Medium $2M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Ice Storm High 0.74 / yr$1M
Drought Medium 75.15 / yr$1M
Cold Wave Medium 2.84 / yr$2M
Hail Low 9.43 / yr$449K
Heat Wave Low 16.95 / yr$588K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$27K
Tornado Low 0.94 / yr$599K
Landslide Very Low 0.13 / yr$218
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$31K
Strong Wind Very Low 6.09 / yr$118K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr$3K
Winter Weather Very Low 8.84 / yr$9K
Riverine Flood Very Low 1.07 / yr$1M
Lightning Very Low 51.32 / yr$18K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Grant County has received 32 federal disaster declarations since 1973, most recently Severe Winter Storms in February 2021. Most frequent causes: Severe Storm (16), Severe Ice Storm (8), Flood (3).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
February 2021Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Storms
February 2021Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Storm
December 2020Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Storm
April 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
June 2019Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding
February 2016Severe StormSevere Winter Storms and Flooding
December 2015Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Storms and Flooding
May 2015Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
April 2013Severe StormSevere Winter Storm and Snowstorm

Showing the 10 most recent of 32 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Grant County?

Grant County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 27.8 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 28th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Grant County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Ice Storm (High, $1M EAL), Drought (Medium, $1M EAL), Cold Wave (Medium, $2M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Grant County compare to other Oklahoma counties?

Grant County ranks #67 of 77 Oklahoma counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Grant County had?

FEMA records 32 federal disaster declarations for Grant County since 1973, most often 16 for severe storm events and 8 for severe ice storm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storms, declared in February 2021.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Grant County's $7M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.