Montcalm County, Michigan Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · MI

Low

Composite Risk Score

56.9

National percentile: 57th

Montcalm County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 56.9, 57th national percentile), driven primarily by strong wind and winter weather exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $19M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Overall natural disaster risk in Montcalm County is low, with a National Risk Index score of 56.9 out of 100 — placing it in the 57th national percentile and below the national average for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Risk here concentrates in strong wind (damaging straight-line winds outside of tornadoes and hurricanes) at High risk — $3M in expected annual loss and about 2.99 events per year; winter weather (heavy snow, blizzards, and hazardous winter conditions) at High risk — $664K in expected annual loss and about 17.95 events per year; and tornado (violently rotating columns of air capable of catastrophic local damage) at Medium risk — $3M in expected annual loss and about 0.26 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $19M in expected annual loss for a population of 67K.

Beyond physical exposure, Montcalm County has a low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a high community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). A less vulnerable population paired with strong resilience helps the community absorb and recover from events.

History supports the rating: Montcalm County has received 12 federal disaster declarations since 1965, including 4 for flood events and 2 for biological events. The most recent was Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding (flood), declared in June 2026.

Among 83 Michigan counties, Montcalm County ranks #36 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $19M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 67K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

High $3M/yr
High $664K/yr
Medium $3M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Strong Wind High 2.99 / yr$3M
Winter Weather High 17.95 / yr$664K
Tornado Medium 0.26 / yr$3M
Cold Wave Low 2.16 / yr$2M
Ice Storm Medium 1.14 / yr$149K
Riverine Flood Low 0.36 / yr$10M
Landslide Very Low 0.15 / yr$3K
Hail Low 1.83 / yr$278K
Lightning Low 30.93 / yr$204K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$166K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$17K
Heat Wave Very Low 1.95 / yr$154K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr$10K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Drought Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Montcalm County has received 12 federal disaster declarations since 1965, most recently Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding in June 2026. Most frequent causes: Flood (4), Biological (2), Snowstorm (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
June 2026FloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
September 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuation
January 2001SnowstormSnow
June 1998Severe StormSevere Storms
September 1986FloodSevere Storms & Flooding
September 1985FloodSevere Storms and Flooding
January 1978SnowstormBlizzards & Snowstorms
March 1976Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Icing & Flooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 12 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Montcalm County?

Montcalm County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 56.9 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 57th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Montcalm County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Strong Wind (High, $3M EAL), Winter Weather (High, $664K EAL), Tornado (Medium, $3M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Montcalm County compare to other Michigan counties?

Montcalm County ranks #36 of 83 Michigan counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Montcalm County had?

FEMA records 12 federal disaster declarations for Montcalm County since 1965, most often 4 for flood events and 2 for biological events. The most recent was Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding, declared in June 2026.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Montcalm County's $19M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.