Wayne County

Michigan — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

High

Composite Risk Score

99.0

National percentile: 99th

Wayne County faces high composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 99.0, 99th national percentile), driven primarily by cold wave and strong wind exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $402M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $402M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 1.79M Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Cold Wave
Very High $60M/yr
Strong Wind
Very High $13M/yr
Tornado
Very High $44M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Cold Wave Very High 2.68 / yr $60M
Strong Wind Very High 5.10 / yr $13M
Tornado Very High 0.28 / yr $44M
Riverine Flood Very High 3.14 / yr $237M
Heat Wave High 4.32 / yr $32M
Ice Storm Very High 1.88 / yr $3M
Lightning Very High 36.55 / yr $2M
Earthquake Medium 0.00 / yr $10M
Winter Weather High 10.21 / yr $491K
Landslide Very Low 0.10 / yr $2K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $120K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $46K
Coastal Flood Low 0.01 / yr $90K
Hail Low 2.85 / yr $174K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Drought Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Wayne County?

Wayne County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 99.0 out of 100, placing it in the High category and the 99th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Wayne County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Cold Wave (Very High, $60M EAL), Strong Wind (Very High, $13M EAL), Tornado (Very High, $44M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Wayne County compare to other Michigan counties?

Wayne County ranks #1 of 83 Michigan counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a high rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Wayne County's $402M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.