Roscommon County

Michigan — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

56.7

National percentile: 57th

Roscommon County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 56.7, 57th national percentile), driven primarily by winter weather and lightning exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $13M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $13M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 23K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Winter Weather
High $231K/yr
Lightning
Medium $375K/yr
Riverine Flood
Low $10M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Winter Weather High 17.68 / yr $231K
Lightning Medium 27.10 / yr $375K
Riverine Flood Low 0.11 / yr $10M
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $120K
Hail Low 1.56 / yr $313K
Cold Wave Low 2.05 / yr $1M
Strong Wind Medium 1.66 / yr $452K
Tornado Low 0.13 / yr $782K
Landslide Very Low 0.10 / yr $410
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $7K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.19 / yr $15K
Heat Wave Very Low 0.95 / yr $36K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $16K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Drought Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Roscommon County?

Roscommon County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 56.7 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 57th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Roscommon County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Winter Weather (High, $231K EAL), Lightning (Medium, $375K EAL), Riverine Flood (Low, $10M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Roscommon County compare to other Michigan counties?

Roscommon County ranks #37 of 83 Michigan counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Roscommon County's $13M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.