Metcalfe County

Kentucky — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

21.8

National percentile: 22th

Metcalfe County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 21.8, 22th national percentile), driven primarily by hail and winter weather exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $5M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $5M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 10K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Hail
Low $338K/yr
Winter Weather
Low $39K/yr
Earthquake
Very Low $169K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hail Low 2.92 / yr $338K
Winter Weather Low 7.00 / yr $39K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $169K
Landslide Very Low 0.49 / yr $814
Ice Storm Low 0.64 / yr $49K
Tornado Low 0.19 / yr $706K
Cold Wave Low 0.84 / yr $501K
Strong Wind Low 5.72 / yr $298K
Drought Low 3.85 / yr $39K
Lightning Low 55.06 / yr $86K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.61 / yr $2M
Heat Wave Very Low 3.68 / yr $86K
Hurricane Very Low 0.02 / yr $9K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $1K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Metcalfe County?

Metcalfe County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 21.8 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 22th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Metcalfe County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hail (Low, $338K EAL), Winter Weather (Low, $39K EAL), Earthquake (Very Low, $169K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Metcalfe County compare to other Kentucky counties?

Metcalfe County ranks #99 of 120 Kentucky counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Metcalfe County's $5M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.