Carlisle County
Kentucky — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment
Very LowComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 19th
Carlisle County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 18.7, 19th national percentile), driven primarily by earthquake and ice storm exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $6M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Earthquake | Low | 0.01 / yr | $3M |
| Ice Storm | High | 1.43 / yr | $455K |
| Drought | Medium | 8.65 / yr | $480K |
| Landslide | Very Low | 0.44 / yr | $586 |
| Heat Wave | Low | 10.84 / yr | $201K |
| Strong Wind | Low | 3.30 / yr | $335K |
| Cold Wave | Low | 0.89 / yr | $452K |
| Tornado | Low | 0.17 / yr | $459K |
| Winter Weather | Low | 6.53 / yr | $26K |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 0.01 / yr | $8K |
| Lightning | Very Low | 56.33 / yr | $45K |
| Hail | Very Low | 2.93 / yr | $42K |
| Riverine Flood | Very Low | 2.14 / yr | $877K |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $989 |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Carlisle County?
Carlisle County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 18.7 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 19th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Carlisle County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Earthquake (Low, $3M EAL), Ice Storm (High, $455K EAL), Drought (Medium, $480K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Carlisle County compare to other Kentucky counties?
Carlisle County ranks #101 of 120 Kentucky counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Carlisle County's $6M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.