Logan County, Kentucky Natural Disaster Risk
FEMA National Risk Index assessment · KY
LowComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 55th
Logan County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 54.6, 55th national percentile), driven primarily by cold wave and hail exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $17M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Risk Overview
Logan County carries a low composite natural disaster risk, with a National Risk Index score of 54.6 out of 100 — placing it in the 55th national percentile and below the national average for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.
The county's risk is driven primarily by cold wave (prolonged spells of dangerously low temperatures) at Medium risk — $5M in expected annual loss and about 0.84 events per year; hail (ice stones from severe thunderstorms that damage property and crops) at Medium risk — $1M in expected annual loss and about 3.18 events per year; and earthquake (ground shaking from sudden movement along geologic faults) at Low risk — $2M in expected annual loss and about 0.00 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $17M in expected annual loss for a population of 27K.
Beyond physical exposure, Logan County has a medium social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a low community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). Both measures sit toward the lower end, indicating relatively modest population sensitivity.
History supports the rating: Logan County has received 19 federal disaster declarations since 1969, including 9 for severe storm events and 2 for biological events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm (winter storm), declared in January 2026.
Among 120 Kentucky counties, Logan County ranks #39 for overall natural disaster risk.
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Cold Wave | Medium | 0.84 / yr | $5M |
| Hail | Medium | 3.18 / yr | $1M |
| Earthquake | Low | 0.00 / yr | $2M |
| Lightning | Medium | 55.17 / yr | $547K |
| Ice Storm | Medium | 0.81 / yr | $236K |
| Strong Wind | Medium | 5.89 / yr | $906K |
| Tornado | Medium | 0.46 / yr | $2M |
| Drought | Low | 3.38 / yr | $240K |
| Heat Wave | Low | 6.00 / yr | $420K |
| Riverine Flood | Low | 1.18 / yr | $5M |
| Hurricane | Very Low | 0.01 / yr | $20K |
| Winter Weather | Low | 6.79 / yr | $32K |
| Landslide | Very Low | 0.32 / yr | $185 |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $2K |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Disaster History
Logan County has received 19 federal disaster declarations since 1969, most recently Severe Winter Storm in January 2026. Most frequent causes: Severe Storm (9), Biological (2), Severe Ice Storm (2).
| Declared | Type | Disaster |
|---|---|---|
| January 2026 | Winter Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| May 2025 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes |
| April 2025 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides |
| April 2025 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding |
| February 2025 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, and Landslides |
| July 2024 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Landslides, and Mudslides |
| April 2023 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides |
| December 2021 | Tornado | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, and Tornadoes |
| March 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| March 2020 | Biological | Covid-19 |
Showing the 10 most recent of 19 declarations.
Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Logan County?
Logan County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 54.6 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 55th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Logan County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Cold Wave (Medium, $5M EAL), Hail (Medium, $1M EAL), Earthquake (Low, $2M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Logan County compare to other Kentucky counties?
Logan County ranks #39 of 120 Kentucky counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.
How many federally declared disasters has Logan County had?
FEMA records 19 federal disaster declarations for Logan County since 1969, most often 9 for severe storm events and 2 for biological events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm, declared in January 2026.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Logan County's $17M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.