Lawrence County

Kentucky — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

53.3

National percentile: 53th

Lawrence County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 53.3, 53th national percentile), driven primarily by landslide and heat wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $13M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $13M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 16K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Landslide
Medium $41K/yr
Heat Wave
Low $1M/yr
Riverine Flood
Medium $11M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Landslide Medium 1.20 / yr $41K
Heat Wave Low 4.16 / yr $1M
Riverine Flood Medium 1.79 / yr $11M
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $106K
Ice Storm Low 0.36 / yr $36K
Winter Weather Low 8.58 / yr $29K
Hurricane Very Low 0.02 / yr $15K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $74K
Strong Wind Low 2.82 / yr $229K
Lightning Low 49.96 / yr $81K
Hail Very Low 3.37 / yr $85K
Tornado Very Low 0.07 / yr $188K
Drought Very Low 3.12 / yr $617
Cold Wave Very Low 0.79 / yr $98K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $6
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Lawrence County?

Lawrence County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 53.3 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 53th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Lawrence County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Landslide (Medium, $41K EAL), Heat Wave (Low, $1M EAL), Riverine Flood (Medium, $11M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Lawrence County compare to other Kentucky counties?

Lawrence County ranks #41 of 120 Kentucky counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Lawrence County's $13M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.