Carter County

Kentucky — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

52.7

National percentile: 53th

Carter County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 52.7, 53th national percentile), driven primarily by landslide and heat wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $14M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $14M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 27K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Landslide
Medium $46K/yr
Heat Wave
Medium $2M/yr
Riverine Flood
Low $10M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Landslide Medium 1.13 / yr $46K
Heat Wave Medium 4.11 / yr $2M
Riverine Flood Low 2.39 / yr $10M
Ice Storm Low 0.55 / yr $106K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $62K
Winter Weather Low 8.68 / yr $48K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $142K
Lightning Low 49.48 / yr $139K
Tornado Low 0.12 / yr $715K
Strong Wind Low 2.81 / yr $319K
Hurricane Very Low 0.02 / yr $20K
Hail Very Low 3.04 / yr $107K
Cold Wave Very Low 0.89 / yr $179K
Drought Very Low 2.67 / yr $775
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Carter County?

Carter County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 52.7 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 53th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Carter County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Landslide (Medium, $46K EAL), Heat Wave (Medium, $2M EAL), Riverine Flood (Low, $10M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Carter County compare to other Kentucky counties?

Carter County ranks #43 of 120 Kentucky counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Carter County's $14M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.