Greenup County, Kentucky Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · KY

Low

Composite Risk Score

52.6

National percentile: 53th

Greenup County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 52.6, 53th national percentile), driven primarily by heat wave and landslide exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $16M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Overall natural disaster risk in Greenup County is low, with a National Risk Index score of 52.6 out of 100 — placing it in the 53rd national percentile and below the national average for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

The county's risk is driven primarily by heat wave (prolonged periods of extreme heat that threaten health and infrastructure) at Medium risk — $2M in expected annual loss and about 4.32 events per year; landslide (downhill movement of rock, soil, and debris on unstable slopes) at Low risk — $27K in expected annual loss and about 0.77 events per year; and riverine flood (rivers and streams overflowing their banks after heavy rain or snowmelt) at Low risk — $11M in expected annual loss and about 2.14 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $16M in expected annual loss for a population of 36K.

Beyond physical exposure, Greenup County has a medium social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a low community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). Both measures sit toward the lower end, indicating relatively modest population sensitivity.

The federal record bears this out: Greenup County has received 33 federal disaster declarations since 1967, including 17 for severe storm events and 5 for flood events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm (winter storm), declared in January 2026.

Among 120 Kentucky counties, Greenup County ranks #44 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $16M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 36K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Medium $2M/yr
Low $27K/yr
Low $11M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Heat Wave Medium 4.32 / yr$2M
Landslide Low 0.77 / yr$27K
Riverine Flood Low 2.14 / yr$11M
Ice Storm Low 0.57 / yr$123K
Lightning Low 48.65 / yr$210K
Strong Wind Low 2.45 / yr$501K
Winter Weather Low 8.53 / yr$54K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$171K
Tornado Low 0.11 / yr$841K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$24K
Hurricane Very Low 0.02 / yr$26K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr$33
Cold Wave Very Low 0.89 / yr$180K
Hail Very Low 3.02 / yr$54K
Drought Very Low 1.99 / yr$564
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Greenup County has received 33 federal disaster declarations since 1967, most recently Severe Winter Storm in January 2026. Most frequent causes: Severe Storm (17), Flood (5), Severe Ice Storm (3).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
January 2026Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
April 2025Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides
April 2025Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding
February 2025Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides
February 2025Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, and Landslides
November 2024Tropical StormRemnants of Hurricane Helene
July 2024Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Landslides, and Mudslides
May 2024Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Landslides, and Mudslides
April 2021FloodSevere, Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides
March 2021Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Storms, Landslides, and Mudslides

Showing the 10 most recent of 33 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Greenup County?

Greenup County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 52.6 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 53th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Greenup County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Heat Wave (Medium, $2M EAL), Landslide (Low, $27K EAL), Riverine Flood (Low, $11M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Greenup County compare to other Kentucky counties?

Greenup County ranks #44 of 120 Kentucky counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Greenup County had?

FEMA records 33 federal disaster declarations for Greenup County since 1967, most often 17 for severe storm events and 5 for flood events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm, declared in January 2026.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Greenup County's $16M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.