Saline County

Arkansas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

77.6

National percentile: 78th

Saline County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 77.6, 78th national percentile), driven primarily by ice storm and heat wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $41M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $41M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 123K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Ice Storm
Very High $2M/yr
Heat Wave
Medium $4M/yr
Earthquake
Low $5M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Ice Storm Very High 1.17 / yr $2M
Heat Wave Medium 18.47 / yr $4M
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $5M
Tornado Medium 0.56 / yr $7M
Hail Medium 5.40 / yr $2M
Lightning High 63.82 / yr $1M
Winter Weather Medium 4.79 / yr $244K
Landslide Low 1.07 / yr $13K
Riverine Flood Medium 3.11 / yr $17M
Strong Wind Medium 3.57 / yr $957K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $101K
Hurricane Very Low 0.02 / yr $144K
Cold Wave Low 1.00 / yr $973K
Drought Very Low 9.66 / yr $15K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Saline County?

Saline County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 77.6 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 78th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Saline County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Ice Storm (Very High, $2M EAL), Heat Wave (Medium, $4M EAL), Earthquake (Low, $5M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Saline County compare to other Arkansas counties?

Saline County ranks #14 of 75 Arkansas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Saline County's $41M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.