Pope County

Arkansas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

77.8

National percentile: 78th

Pope County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 77.8, 78th national percentile), driven primarily by ice storm and tornado exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $39M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $39M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 63K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Ice Storm
Very High $2M/yr
Tornado
High $11M/yr
Heat Wave
Medium $2M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Ice Storm Very High 1.37 / yr $2M
Tornado High 0.58 / yr $11M
Heat Wave Medium 15.99 / yr $2M
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $3M
Strong Wind Medium 3.50 / yr $1M
Winter Weather Medium 6.79 / yr $203K
Riverine Flood Medium 1.54 / yr $17M
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $214K
Lightning Medium 60.50 / yr $520K
Landslide Low 1.00 / yr $5K
Hail Low 5.33 / yr $352K
Drought Low 9.58 / yr $168K
Cold Wave Low 1.16 / yr $1M
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $39K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Pope County?

Pope County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 77.8 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 78th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Pope County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Ice Storm (Very High, $2M EAL), Tornado (High, $11M EAL), Heat Wave (Medium, $2M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Pope County compare to other Arkansas counties?

Pope County ranks #13 of 75 Arkansas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Pope County's $39M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.