Lonoke County

Arkansas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

75.1

National percentile: 75th

Lonoke County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 75.1, 75th national percentile), driven primarily by ice storm and earthquake exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $41M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $41M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 74K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Ice Storm
Very High $2M/yr
Earthquake
Medium $10M/yr
Strong Wind
High $2M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Ice Storm Very High 1.15 / yr $2M
Earthquake Medium 0.01 / yr $10M
Strong Wind High 3.01 / yr $2M
Tornado Medium 0.65 / yr $7M
Heat Wave Medium 18.47 / yr $2M
Hail Low 4.66 / yr $717K
Riverine Flood Low 1.96 / yr $15M
Lightning Medium 59.43 / yr $537K
Winter Weather Medium 5.00 / yr $132K
Hurricane Very Low 0.02 / yr $116K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $63K
Cold Wave Low 1.00 / yr $932K
Landslide Very Low 0.23 / yr $805
Drought Low 10.68 / yr $79K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Lonoke County?

Lonoke County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 75.1 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 75th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Lonoke County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Ice Storm (Very High, $2M EAL), Earthquake (Medium, $10M EAL), Strong Wind (High, $2M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Lonoke County compare to other Arkansas counties?

Lonoke County ranks #15 of 75 Arkansas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Lonoke County's $41M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.