Crawford County

Arkansas — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

71.6

National percentile: 72th

Crawford County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 71.6, 72th national percentile), driven primarily by ice storm and heat wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $30M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $30M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 60K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Ice Storm
High $2M/yr
Heat Wave
Medium $5M/yr
Wildfire
Medium $2M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Ice Storm High 1.81 / yr $2M
Heat Wave Medium 23.95 / yr $5M
Wildfire Medium 0.01 / yr $2M
Landslide Medium 0.64 / yr $48K
Tornado Medium 0.46 / yr $4M
Winter Weather Medium 7.84 / yr $207K
Lightning Medium 60.61 / yr $655K
Riverine Flood Low 3.00 / yr $13M
Drought Medium 14.51 / yr $490K
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $656K
Cold Wave Low 1.05 / yr $2M
Hail Low 6.38 / yr $421K
Hurricane Very Low 0.02 / yr $40K
Strong Wind Low 5.19 / yr $428K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Crawford County?

Crawford County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 71.6 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 72th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Crawford County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Ice Storm (High, $2M EAL), Heat Wave (Medium, $5M EAL), Wildfire (Medium, $2M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Crawford County compare to other Arkansas counties?

Crawford County ranks #21 of 75 Arkansas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Crawford County's $30M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.