Southeast Fairbanks Census Area

Alaska — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

57.0

National percentile: 57th

Southeast Fairbanks Census Area faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 57.0, 57th national percentile), driven primarily by wildfire and avalanche exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $12M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $12M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 7K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Wildfire
Medium $5M/yr
Avalanche
High $2M/yr
Earthquake
Low $2M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Wildfire Medium 0.01 / yr $5M
Avalanche High 0.07 / yr $2M
Earthquake Low 0.05 / yr $2M
Landslide Low 28.21 / yr $23K
Cold Wave Medium 4.94 / yr $2M
Winter Weather Medium 16.13 / yr $77K
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $4
Lightning Very Low 43.30 / yr $26K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.01 / yr $4K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.01 / yr $793K
Hail Very Low 0.00 / yr $306
Strong Wind Very Low 0.00 / yr $121
Tornado Very Low 0.00 / yr $1
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Drought Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Heat Wave Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Southeast Fairbanks Census Area?

Southeast Fairbanks Census Area has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 57.0 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 57th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Southeast Fairbanks Census Area?

The three highest-rated hazards are Wildfire (Medium, $5M EAL), Avalanche (High, $2M EAL), Earthquake (Low, $2M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Southeast Fairbanks Census Area compare to other Alaska counties?

Southeast Fairbanks Census Area ranks #9 of 30 Alaska counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Southeast Fairbanks Census Area's $12M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.