Anchorage Municipality

Alaska — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

High

Composite Risk Score

97.4

National percentile: 97th

Anchorage Municipality faces high composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 97.4, 97th national percentile), driven primarily by earthquake and landslide exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $367M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $367M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 291K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Earthquake
High $353M/yr
Landslide
High $2M/yr
Winter Weather
Very High $2M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Earthquake High 0.16 / yr $353M
Landslide High 32.43 / yr $2M
Winter Weather Very High 9.00 / yr $2M
Avalanche Very High 1.00 / yr $7M
Volcanic Activity Low 0.01 / yr $7K
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $471K
Tsunami Low 0.30 / yr $2M
Lightning Low 9.39 / yr $201K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.01 / yr $4K
Cold Wave Low 0.06 / yr $492K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.01 / yr $27K
Hail Very Low 0.02 / yr $27K
Tornado Very Low 0.00 / yr $1
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.04 / yr $397
Drought Very Low 1.39 / yr $0
Heat Wave Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Strong Wind Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Anchorage Municipality?

Anchorage Municipality has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 97.4 out of 100, placing it in the High category and the 97th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Anchorage Municipality?

The three highest-rated hazards are Earthquake (High, $353M EAL), Landslide (High, $2M EAL), Winter Weather (Very High, $2M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Anchorage Municipality compare to other Alaska counties?

Anchorage Municipality ranks #1 of 30 Alaska counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a high rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Anchorage Municipality's $367M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.