Randolph County, West Virginia Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · WV

Low

Composite Risk Score

57.1

National percentile: 57th

Randolph County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 57.1, 57th national percentile), driven primarily by landslide and riverine flood exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $19M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Overall natural disaster risk in Randolph County is low, with a National Risk Index score of 57.1 out of 100 — placing it in the 57th national percentile and below the national average for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Risk here concentrates in landslide (downhill movement of rock, soil, and debris on unstable slopes) at Medium risk — $56K in expected annual loss and about 2.39 events per year; riverine flood (rivers and streams overflowing their banks after heavy rain or snowmelt) at Medium risk — $18M in expected annual loss and about 2.00 events per year; and avalanche (fast-moving snow and debris sliding down steep mountain slopes) at Very Low risk — $3K in expected annual loss and about 0.01 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $19M in expected annual loss for a population of 28K.

Beyond physical exposure, Randolph County has a medium social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a medium community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). Both measures sit toward the lower end, indicating relatively modest population sensitivity.

The county's disaster history tells the same story: Randolph County has received 22 federal disaster declarations since 1967, including 7 for flood events and 4 for severe storm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm (winter storm), declared in January 2026.

Among 55 West Virginia counties, Randolph County ranks #22 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $19M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 28K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Medium $56K/yr
Medium $18M/yr
Very Low $3K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Landslide Medium 2.39 / yr$56K
Riverine Flood Medium 2.00 / yr$18M
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr$3K
Winter Weather Low 22.26 / yr$69K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr$75K
Lightning Low 43.28 / yr$201K
Hail Low 1.67 / yr$156K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$100K
Drought Very Low 5.08 / yr$26K
Strong Wind Low 1.19 / yr$202K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.16 / yr$15K
Cold Wave Very Low 5.40 / yr$191K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$6K
Tornado Very Low 0.09 / yr$53K
Heat Wave Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Randolph County has received 22 federal disaster declarations since 1967, most recently Severe Winter Storm in January 2026. Most frequent causes: Flood (7), Severe Storm (4), Hurricane (4).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
January 2026Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
April 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
August 2019FloodSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides
August 2017Severe StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides
June 2016FloodSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides
November 2012HurricaneHurricane Sandy
October 2012HurricaneHurricane Sandy
July 2012Severe StormSevere Storms and Straight-Line Winds
June 2012Severe StormSevere Storms

Showing the 10 most recent of 22 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Randolph County?

Randolph County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 57.1 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 57th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Randolph County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Landslide (Medium, $56K EAL), Riverine Flood (Medium, $18M EAL), Avalanche (Very Low, $3K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Randolph County compare to other West Virginia counties?

Randolph County ranks #22 of 55 West Virginia counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Randolph County had?

FEMA records 22 federal disaster declarations for Randolph County since 1967, most often 7 for flood events and 4 for severe storm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm, declared in January 2026.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Randolph County's $19M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.