Clay County, West Virginia Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · WV

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

22.3

National percentile: 22th

Clay County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 22.3, 22th national percentile), driven primarily by landslide and avalanche exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $5M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Clay County carries a very low composite natural disaster risk, with a National Risk Index score of 22.3 out of 100 — placing it in the 22nd national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Risk here concentrates in landslide (downhill movement of rock, soil, and debris on unstable slopes) at Medium risk — $49K in expected annual loss and about 0.98 events per year; avalanche (fast-moving snow and debris sliding down steep mountain slopes) at Low risk — $2K in expected annual loss and about 0.01 events per year; and riverine flood (rivers and streams overflowing their banks after heavy rain or snowmelt) at Low risk — $4M in expected annual loss and about 1.54 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $5M in expected annual loss for a population of 8K.

Beyond physical exposure, Clay County has a very high social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a very low community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). That combination — a more vulnerable population with limited resilience — can amplify the human cost of any given event.

The county's disaster history tells the same story: Clay County has received 26 federal disaster declarations since 1967, including 10 for severe storm events and 4 for flood events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm (winter storm), declared in January 2026.

Among 55 West Virginia counties, Clay County ranks #48 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $5M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 8K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Medium $49K/yr
Low $2K/yr
Low $4M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Landslide Medium 0.98 / yr$49K
Avalanche Low 0.01 / yr$2K
Riverine Flood Low 1.54 / yr$4M
Lightning Low 47.63 / yr$66K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr$8K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$8K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$29K
Drought Very Low 4.32 / yr$5K
Heat Wave Very Low 2.42 / yr$45K
Winter Weather Very Low 9.37 / yr$11K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.07 / yr$4K
Hail Very Low 2.30 / yr$21K
Strong Wind Very Low 0.74 / yr$44K
Cold Wave Very Low 0.79 / yr$19K
Tornado Very Low 0.03 / yr$15K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Clay County has received 26 federal disaster declarations since 1967, most recently Severe Winter Storm in January 2026. Most frequent causes: Severe Storm (10), Flood (4), Hurricane (3).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
January 2026Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
January 2024FloodSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides
April 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
June 2016FloodSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides
August 2015Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides
January 2014ChemicalChemical Spill
November 2012HurricaneHurricane Sandy
October 2012HurricaneHurricane Sandy
July 2012Severe StormSevere Storms and Straight-Line Winds

Showing the 10 most recent of 26 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Clay County?

Clay County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 22.3 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 22th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Clay County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Landslide (Medium, $49K EAL), Avalanche (Low, $2K EAL), Riverine Flood (Low, $4M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Clay County compare to other West Virginia counties?

Clay County ranks #48 of 55 West Virginia counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Clay County had?

FEMA records 26 federal disaster declarations for Clay County since 1967, most often 10 for severe storm events and 4 for flood events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm, declared in January 2026.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Clay County's $5M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.