York County
Virginia — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment
LowComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 45th
York County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 44.7, 45th national percentile), driven primarily by hurricane and ice storm exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $24M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Hurricane | Medium | 0.22 / yr | $4M |
| Ice Storm | Medium | 1.44 / yr | $309K |
| Riverine Flood | Low | 0.75 / yr | $14M |
| Coastal Flood | Low | 3.69 / yr | $650K |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $113K |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $585K |
| Heat Wave | Low | 6.09 / yr | $702K |
| Winter Weather | Low | 3.90 / yr | $104K |
| Tornado | Low | 0.11 / yr | $2M |
| Lightning | Low | 41.58 / yr | $279K |
| Drought | Low | 2.28 / yr | $84K |
| Landslide | Very Low | 0.02 / yr | $582 |
| Hail | Very Low | 2.05 / yr | $200K |
| Cold Wave | Low | 0.45 / yr | $631K |
| Strong Wind | Low | 0.64 / yr | $453K |
| Avalanche | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for York County?
York County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 44.7 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 45th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in York County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Hurricane (Medium, $4M EAL), Ice Storm (Medium, $309K EAL), Riverine Flood (Low, $14M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does York County compare to other Virginia counties?
York County ranks #47 of 133 Virginia counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. York County's $24M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.