Rockingham County

Virginia — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

75.0

National percentile: 75th

Rockingham County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 75.0, 75th national percentile), driven primarily by landslide and riverine flood exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $35M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $35M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 84K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Landslide
Low $38K/yr
Riverine Flood
Medium $26M/yr
Hurricane
Medium $3M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Landslide Low 1.31 / yr $38K
Riverine Flood Medium 2.36 / yr $26M
Hurricane Medium 0.05 / yr $3M
Drought Medium 3.54 / yr $1M
Lightning Medium 38.66 / yr $669K
Heat Wave Low 2.10 / yr $1M
Strong Wind Medium 3.15 / yr $1M
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $691K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $3K
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $119K
Winter Weather Medium 12.70 / yr $101K
Hail Low 2.14 / yr $367K
Cold Wave Low 2.21 / yr $708K
Ice Storm Low 0.71 / yr $37K
Tornado Low 0.21 / yr $498K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Rockingham County?

Rockingham County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 75.0 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 75th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Rockingham County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Landslide (Low, $38K EAL), Riverine Flood (Medium, $26M EAL), Hurricane (Medium, $3M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Rockingham County compare to other Virginia counties?

Rockingham County ranks #11 of 133 Virginia counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Rockingham County's $35M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.