Newport News City, Virginia Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · VA

Low

Composite Risk Score

72.2

National percentile: 72th

Newport News City faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 72.2, 72th national percentile), driven primarily by hurricane and winter weather exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $32M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Newport News City at low composite risk, with a National Risk Index score of 72.2 out of 100 — placing it in the 72nd national percentile and below the national average for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Most of Newport News City's expected losses come from hurricane (tropical cyclones bringing extreme wind, rain, and storm surge) at Medium risk — $6M in expected annual loss and about 0.22 events per year; winter weather (heavy snow, blizzards, and hazardous winter conditions) at High risk — $296K in expected annual loss and about 3.80 events per year; and heat wave (prolonged periods of extreme heat that threaten health and infrastructure) at Medium risk — $2M in expected annual loss and about 6.20 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $32M in expected annual loss for a population of 186K.

Beyond physical exposure, Newport News City has a low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a high community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). A less vulnerable population paired with strong resilience helps the community absorb and recover from events.

The county's disaster history tells the same story: Newport News City has received 21 federal disaster declarations since 1972, including 11 for hurricane events and 3 for severe storm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm (winter storm), declared in January 2026.

Among 133 Virginia counties, Newport News City ranks #14 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $32M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 186K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Medium $6M/yr
High $296K/yr
Medium $2M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hurricane Medium 0.22 / yr$6M
Winter Weather High 3.80 / yr$296K
Heat Wave Medium 6.20 / yr$2M
Ice Storm Medium 1.42 / yr$446K
Strong Wind Medium 0.63 / yr$1M
Lightning Medium 41.95 / yr$642K
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr$1M
Tornado Medium 0.06 / yr$3M
Riverine Flood Low 1.00 / yr$14M
Cold Wave Low 0.47 / yr$2M
Hail Low 2.03 / yr$397K
Coastal Flood Low 3.67 / yr$527K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$19K
Landslide Very Low 0.01 / yr$122
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Drought Very Low 1.81 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Newport News City has received 21 federal disaster declarations since 1972, most recently Severe Winter Storm in January 2026. Most frequent causes: Hurricane (11), Severe Storm (3), Biological (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
January 2026Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
April 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
October 2018HurricaneHurricane Florence
September 2018HurricaneHurricane Florence
November 2016HurricaneHurricane Matthew
October 2012HurricaneHurricane Sandy
September 2011HurricaneHurricane Irene
August 2011HurricaneHurricane Irene
December 2009Severe StormSevere Storms and Flooding Associated with Tropical Depression Ida and a Nor'east

Showing the 10 most recent of 21 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Newport News City?

Newport News City has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 72.2 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 72th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Newport News City?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hurricane (Medium, $6M EAL), Winter Weather (High, $296K EAL), Heat Wave (Medium, $2M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Newport News City compare to other Virginia counties?

Newport News City ranks #14 of 133 Virginia counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Newport News City had?

FEMA records 21 federal disaster declarations for Newport News City since 1972, most often 11 for hurricane events and 3 for severe storm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm, declared in January 2026.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Newport News City's $32M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.