Botetourt County, Virginia Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · VA

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

18.1

National percentile: 18th

Botetourt County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 18.1, 18th national percentile), driven primarily by landslide and avalanche exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $9M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Overall natural disaster risk in Botetourt County is very low, with a National Risk Index score of 18.1 out of 100 — placing it in the 18th national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Most of Botetourt County's expected losses come from landslide (downhill movement of rock, soil, and debris on unstable slopes) at Low risk — $50K in expected annual loss and about 1.38 events per year; avalanche (fast-moving snow and debris sliding down steep mountain slopes) at Very Low risk — $3K in expected annual loss and about 0.01 events per year; and hurricane (tropical cyclones bringing extreme wind, rain, and storm surge) at Very Low risk — $175K in expected annual loss and about 0.03 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $9M in expected annual loss for a population of 34K.

Beyond physical exposure, Botetourt County has a very low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a high community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). A less vulnerable population paired with strong resilience helps the community absorb and recover from events.

The federal record bears this out: Botetourt County has received 24 federal disaster declarations since 1969, including 6 for hurricane events and 5 for severe storm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm (winter storm), declared in January 2026.

Among 133 Virginia counties, Botetourt County ranks #83 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $9M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 34K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Low $50K/yr
Very Low $3K/yr
Very Low $175K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Landslide Low 1.38 / yr$50K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr$3K
Hurricane Very Low 0.03 / yr$175K
Riverine Flood Low 1.61 / yr$7M
Lightning Low 42.78 / yr$217K
Strong Wind Low 2.73 / yr$553K
Winter Weather Low 10.16 / yr$54K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$152K
Cold Wave Low 3.00 / yr$550K
Drought Very Low 2.59 / yr$28K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$14K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.61 / yr$15K
Tornado Very Low 0.08 / yr$122K
Hail Very Low 3.30 / yr$45K
Heat Wave Very Low 0.42 / yr$25K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Botetourt County has received 24 federal disaster declarations since 1969, most recently Severe Winter Storm in January 2026. Most frequent causes: Hurricane (6), Severe Storm (5), Snowstorm (4).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
January 2026Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
April 2025Severe StormSevere Winter Storms and Flooding
October 2024Tropical StormTropical Storm Helene
April 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
October 2018HurricaneHurricane Florence
September 2018HurricaneHurricane Florence
October 2012HurricaneHurricane Sandy
July 2012Severe StormSevere Storms and Straight-Line Winds
February 2010SnowstormSevere Winter Storm and Snowstorm

Showing the 10 most recent of 24 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Botetourt County?

Botetourt County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 18.1 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 18th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Botetourt County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Landslide (Low, $50K EAL), Avalanche (Very Low, $3K EAL), Hurricane (Very Low, $175K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Botetourt County compare to other Virginia counties?

Botetourt County ranks #83 of 133 Virginia counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Botetourt County had?

FEMA records 24 federal disaster declarations for Botetourt County since 1969, most often 6 for hurricane events and 5 for severe storm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm, declared in January 2026.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Botetourt County's $9M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.