Salem City, Virginia Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · VA

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

18.6

National percentile: 19th

Salem City faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 18.6, 19th national percentile), driven primarily by hurricane and earthquake exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $9M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Salem City at very low composite risk, with a National Risk Index score of 18.6 out of 100 — placing it in the 19th national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

The county's risk is driven primarily by hurricane (tropical cyclones bringing extreme wind, rain, and storm surge) at Very Low risk — $205K in expected annual loss and about 0.05 events per year; earthquake (ground shaking from sudden movement along geologic faults) at Very Low risk — $336K in expected annual loss and about 0.00 events per year; and riverine flood (rivers and streams overflowing their banks after heavy rain or snowmelt) at Low risk — $7M in expected annual loss and about 0.86 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $9M in expected annual loss for a population of 25K.

Beyond physical exposure, Salem City has a very low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a high community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). A less vulnerable population paired with strong resilience helps the community absorb and recover from events.

The federal record bears this out: Salem City has received 14 federal disaster declarations since 1972, including 3 for hurricane events and 3 for severe storm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm (winter storm), declared in January 2026.

Among 133 Virginia counties, Salem City ranks #82 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $9M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 25K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Very Low $205K/yr
Very Low $336K/yr
Low $7M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hurricane Very Low 0.05 / yr$205K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$336K
Riverine Flood Low 0.86 / yr$7M
Strong Wind Low 3.38 / yr$479K
Lightning Low 44.61 / yr$154K
Landslide Very Low 0.02 / yr$317
Winter Weather Low 9.53 / yr$32K
Cold Wave Very Low 2.89 / yr$243K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.55 / yr$10K
Hail Very Low 4.13 / yr$54K
Tornado Very Low 0.00 / yr$133K
Heat Wave Very Low 0.53 / yr$27K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$692
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Drought Very Low 1.66 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Salem City has received 14 federal disaster declarations since 1972, most recently Severe Winter Storm in January 2026. Most frequent causes: Hurricane (3), Severe Storm (3), Flood (3).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
January 2026Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
April 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
September 2018HurricaneHurricane Florence
October 2012HurricaneHurricane Sandy
July 2012Severe StormSevere Storms and Straight-Line Winds
September 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuation
October 2004Severe StormSevere Storms and Flooding From the Remanants of Hurricane Jeanne
March 2003Severe StormSevere Winter Storm, Record/Near Record Snowfall, Heavy Rain,Floodind, and Mudslide
January 1996SnowstormBlizzard of 96 (Severe Snow Storm)

Showing the 10 most recent of 14 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Salem City?

Salem City has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 18.6 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 19th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Salem City?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hurricane (Very Low, $205K EAL), Earthquake (Very Low, $336K EAL), Riverine Flood (Low, $7M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Salem City compare to other Virginia counties?

Salem City ranks #82 of 133 Virginia counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Salem City had?

FEMA records 14 federal disaster declarations for Salem City since 1972, most often 3 for hurricane events and 3 for severe storm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm, declared in January 2026.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Salem City's $9M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.