Wayne County

Pennsylvania — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

56.3

National percentile: 56th

Wayne County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 56.3, 56th national percentile), driven primarily by hurricane and landslide exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $17M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $17M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 51K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Hurricane
Low $1M/yr
Landslide
Low $8K/yr
Riverine Flood
Low $13M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hurricane Low 0.03 / yr $1M
Landslide Low 0.79 / yr $8K
Riverine Flood Low 1.32 / yr $13M
Strong Wind Medium 2.07 / yr $755K
Cold Wave Low 3.38 / yr $1M
Winter Weather Low 16.79 / yr $71K
Lightning Low 30.89 / yr $238K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $223K
Ice Storm Low 0.54 / yr $51K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $141
Heat Wave Very Low 1.50 / yr $138K
Tornado Low 0.22 / yr $480K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $7K
Hail Very Low 2.11 / yr $61K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Drought Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Wayne County?

Wayne County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 56.3 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 56th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Wayne County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hurricane (Low, $1M EAL), Landslide (Low, $8K EAL), Riverine Flood (Low, $13M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Wayne County compare to other Pennsylvania counties?

Wayne County ranks #48 of 67 Pennsylvania counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Wayne County's $17M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.