Monroe County

Pennsylvania — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Medium

Composite Risk Score

85.1

National percentile: 85th

Monroe County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 85.1, 85th national percentile), driven primarily by lightning and cold wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $57M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $57M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 168K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Lightning
Very High $2M/yr
Cold Wave
High $12M/yr
Winter Weather
High $562K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Lightning Very High 32.12 / yr $2M
Cold Wave High 3.21 / yr $12M
Winter Weather High 17.95 / yr $562K
Riverine Flood Medium 2.18 / yr $33M
Hurricane Medium 0.05 / yr $3M
Strong Wind Medium 4.61 / yr $1M
Ice Storm Medium 1.60 / yr $301K
Heat Wave Low 1.89 / yr $1M
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $1M
Landslide Low 0.47 / yr $7K
Tornado Medium 0.24 / yr $2M
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $53K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $109
Hail Very Low 2.24 / yr $59K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Drought Very Low 0.03 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Monroe County?

Monroe County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 85.1 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 85th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Monroe County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Lightning (Very High, $2M EAL), Cold Wave (High, $12M EAL), Winter Weather (High, $562K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Monroe County compare to other Pennsylvania counties?

Monroe County ranks #18 of 67 Pennsylvania counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Monroe County's $57M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.