Lackawanna County

Pennsylvania — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Medium

Composite Risk Score

89.9

National percentile: 90th

Lackawanna County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 89.9, 90th national percentile), driven primarily by riverine flood and winter weather exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $72M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $72M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 216K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Riverine Flood
High $57M/yr
Winter Weather
High $427K/yr
Lightning
High $1M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Riverine Flood High 1.68 / yr $57M
Winter Weather High 13.79 / yr $427K
Lightning High 31.32 / yr $1M
Cold Wave High 2.95 / yr $6M
Heat Wave Medium 2.48 / yr $2M
Hurricane Medium 0.04 / yr $2M
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $999K
Landslide Low 0.51 / yr $7K
Ice Storm Medium 0.53 / yr $177K
Tornado Medium 0.15 / yr $2M
Strong Wind Medium 2.71 / yr $671K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $25K
Avalanche Very Low 0.01 / yr $157
Hail Very Low 2.10 / yr $91K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Drought Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Lackawanna County?

Lackawanna County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 89.9 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 90th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Lackawanna County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Riverine Flood (High, $57M EAL), Winter Weather (High, $427K EAL), Lightning (High, $1M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Lackawanna County compare to other Pennsylvania counties?

Lackawanna County ranks #14 of 67 Pennsylvania counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Lackawanna County's $72M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.